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Bellwether Pennsylvania Special Election Too Close to Call

Bellwether Pennsylvania Special Election Too Close to Call

Democrat Conor Lamb and Republican Rick Saccone were locked in a tight contest for a House seat in Pennsylvania that may be a bellwether for the fall elections that will decide control of Congress.

Conor Lamb

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

The special election Tuesday in southwestern Pennsylvania remained too close to call with all precincts reporting results. Lamb clung to a lead of 579 votes out of about 227,000 cast.

Some absentee ballots from the four counties in the district had yet to be counted and those tallies may not be completed until later Wednesday morning.

Lamb claimed victory when addressing supporters early Wednesday morning in Canonsburg.

“It took a little longer than we thought, but we did it,” Lamb said.

That the race was competitive at all was a bad sign for Republicans. The seat had been in Republican hands for 15 years and Democrats didn’t contest it in the last two congressional elections. President Donald Trump won the district by 20 percentage points over Democrat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

Rick Saccone

Photographer: Ty Wright/Bloomberg

Trump campaigned for Saccone Saturday night in the heart of the district, which stretches from the suburbs of Pittsburgh to the border with West Virginia. During the rally, Trump laid out the stakes in Tuesday’s vote.

“I hate to put this pressure on you, Rick, but the world is watching, because I won this district,” Trump said.

Saccone addressed supporters late Tuesday at his campaign headquarters in McKeesport, to thank them and to promise he is “not giving up.”

“We’re going to fight all the way to the end,” he said.

Both parties are preparing for November elections that will be held amid several retirements by Republicans in closely divided districts, Trump’s historically low approval ratings and polls showing voters favoring Democratic congressional candidates over Republicans. The GOP also is bucking historical trends. Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats, and the party holding the White House has averaged a net loss of 26 in midterm elections since the end of World War II.

Saccone, 60, leaned heavily on Trump and promised he’d help the president carry out his agenda. The president, Vice President Mike Pence and president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., all appeared on Saccone’s behalf.

Lamb by contrast distanced himself from national Democrats, saying he wouldn’t support Representative Nancy Pelosi of California as the party’s leader in the House. The 33-year-old Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor backs expanded background checks for gun buyers but opposes major new limits on firearms ownership. He’s also largely avoided talking about Trump.

Lamb matched or outpaced Hillary Clinton’s performance in the 2016 presidential election across the district, including the vote-rich Pittsburgh suburbs of Allegheny County, where he was getting 57 percent of the vote. Saccone, a state representative and Air Force veteran, wasn’t able to equal Trump’s results in more heavily Republican areas. In Westmoreland County, the Republican won 57 percent of the vote, compared with Trump’s 64 percent in 2016.

The special election is being held because the Republican who represented the district since the 2002 election, Tim Murphy, resigned last October amid a personal scandal.

Barring a last-minute reversal by the federal courts, Tuesday’s election was the last in the district as it’s currently drawn. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court invalidated the state’s congressional map in January, ruling that Republican-drawn district lines unlawfully diluted Democrats’ votes. The court supplanted it with a map that’s more favorable to Democrats.

— With assistance by Arit John

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-14/bellwether-pennsylvania-special-election-still-too-close-to-call

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