“Bodak Yellow” could dethrone “Look What You Made Me Do.”
Taylor Swift‘s “Look What You Made Me Do” has led the Billboard Hot 100 chart for three weeks. On the latest list (dated Sept. 30), below Swift’s smash, Cardi B‘s “Bodak Yellow (Money Moves)” pushes 3-2, likely setting up a battle for No. 1 next week.
On the next Hot 100 (dated Oct. 7), can rapper Cardi B’s breakthrough hit dethrone pop titan Swift’s leader?
Let’s run some projections. Highlights of next week’s Hot 100, which blends streaming, airplay and sales data, according to Nielsen Music, will post on Billboard.com Monday (Sept. 25).
Based on preliminary data for the tracking week, incumbent No. 1 “Look” could draw more than 30 million U.S. streams and 75 million in radio audience and sell more than 45,000 downloads. (Of those metrics, only airplay might show a gain week-over-week.)
Current runner-up “Yellow” could tally more than 35 million U.S. streams and 60 million airplay impressions and, like “Look,” sell more than 45,000 (with the last two metrics increasing from this week).
Based on those forecasts, the songs should engage in a tight battle for No. 1, with “Yellow,” given its apparent growing lead in streaming, perhaps enough to give it the edge over “Look,” and possibly grant Cardi B her first Hot 100 leader.
Impressively, Cardi B would become the first female rapper to top the Hot 100 since Iggy Azalea, who led for seven weeks in 2014 with her debut hit, “Fancy,” featuring Charli XCX. Cardi B would be just the just the second female ever to rule the Hot 100 with a rap title unaccompanied by any other act: Lauryn Hill sent her debut solo hit “Doo Wop (That Thing)” to No. 1 for two weeks in 1998. (She had first made her mark with the Fugees.)
Also looking ahead to next week’s Hot 100, Logic‘s “1-800-273-8255,” featuring Alessia Cara and Khalid, could earn more than 30 million U.S. streams and 45 million in radio audience and sell more than 30,000, while Post Malone‘s new single “Rockstar,” featuring 21 Savage, could launch with more than 30 million U.S. streams and 70,000 sold (as well as a relatively insignificant first-week airplay sum). “1-800” could, thus, hold at its No. 3 Hot 100 high, while “Rockstar” looks likely to arrive in the top 10.
Check back Monday, Sept. 25, to find out who’s No. 1 and for highlights of the Hot 100’s top 10 and more.